Part of a new industry series Financing the Future™: Climate Business Intelligence™ for Financial Services

Executive Summary

Predictive analytics is transforming finance by linking climate risk directly to investment performance. Using asset-level modeling, institutions can forecast hazards such as floods, heat, and supply chain disruptions, turning this intelligence into quantifiable financial metrics. Financial institutions can measure risk and opportunity by integrating predictive analytics into credit and investment systems, protecting portfolios while driving growth through Climate Business Intelligence™.

Predictive Analytics for Financial Decision-Making

The financial services industry is entering an era where predictive analytics are indispensable. Asset-level climate analytics now make it possible to forecast hazards such as flooding, extreme heat, and supply chain disruptions with a level of precision that was unthinkable just a decade ago. These insights enable institutions to evaluate exposure and the effectiveness of adaptation measures across diverse portfolios.

Institutions can quantify metrics like Expected Annual Loss and Value at Risk under multiple climate scenarios by embedding this intelligence into credit, lending, and equity models. Predictive analytics also make it possible to demonstrate the return on investment of resilience projects in tangible financial terms. For example, the cost of constructing a flood barrier can be weighed against decades of avoided storm damage. Investments in resilient supply chains can be assessed regarding reduced revenue disruptions and operational continuity.

This approach reframes adaptation as both a defensive and offensive strategy. It protects portfolios from losses while also highlighting opportunities for financial growth. Climate Business Intelligence™ provides the tools for this transition by linking climate hazard models directly to economic outcomes. Institutions that adopt these capabilities will gain an edge in identifying risk-adjusted returns and positioning themselves for long-term success in a climate-altered world.

About ClimaTwin®

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