“As the climate has warmed over recent years, a new pattern of more frequent and more intense weather events has unfolded across the globe. Climate models simulate such changes in extreme events, and some of the reasons for the changes are well understood. Warming increases the likelihood of extremely hot days and nights, favors increased atmospheric moisture that may result in more frequent heavy rainfall and snowfall and leads to evaporation that can exacerbate droughts.
Even with evidence of these broad trends, scientists cautioned in the past that individual weather events couldn’t be attributed to climate change. Now, with advances in understanding the climate science behind extreme events and the science of extreme event attribution, such blanket statements may not be accurate. The relatively young science of extreme event attribution seeks to tease out the influence of human-caused climate change from other factors, such as natural sources of variability like El Niño, as contributors to individual extreme events.
Event attribution can answer questions about how much climate change influenced the probability or intensity of a specific type of weather event. As event attribution capabilities improve, they could help inform choices about assessing and managing risk, and in guiding climate adaptation strategies. This report examines the current state of the science of extreme weather attribution and identifies ways to move the science forward to improve attribution capabilities.”
This study was supported by the David and Lucile Packard Foundation under contract number 2015-63077, the Heising-Simons Foundation under contract number 2015-095, the Litterman Family Foundation, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration under contract number NNX15AW55G, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration under contract number EE-133E-15-SE-1748, and the U.S. Department of Energy under contract number DE-SC0014256, with additional support from the National Academy of Sciences’ Arthur L. Day Fund. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views of any organization or agency that provided support for the project.
International Standard Book Number-13: 978-0-309-38094-2
International Standard Book Number-10: 0-309-38094-4
Library of Congress Control Number: 2016946880
Digital Object Identifier: 10.17226/21852
(Source: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016. Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21852.)
ClimaTwin® is a leading climate risk intelligence solution for infrastructure assets and the built environment.
We empower infrastructure stakeholders to mitigate climate risks and assess adaptation actions across the total asset lifecycle. By connecting complex climate models and infrastructure digital twins, our solution enables engineers, owner-operators, and governments to aggregate, visualize, and analyze disparate datasets, revealing site-specific insights at a hyper-local scale. Benefits include 5-10x near-term returns and lifetime cost-avoidance by mitigating risks to systems, services, and societies.
To learn more about climate risk intelligence for your infrastructure assets, please visit www.climatwin.com today.
ClimaTwin® is a registered trademark of ClimaTwin Corp. ClimaTwin Basic™, ClimaTwin Enterprise™, the ClimaTwin logo, and Climate Risk Intelligence for Infrastructure Digital Twins™ are trademarks of ClimaTwin Corp. All rights reserved.
The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine presents the report Framing the Challenge of Urban Flooding in the United States. As of today, flooding poses the most significant economic risk and social impact in the United States, of all climate extremes and natural hazards. As a result of our climate crisis, the severity, intensity, and extent of flooding is increasing over time. Further, the book highlights how “…catastrophic flooding from recent hurricanes, including Superstorm Sandy in New York (2012) and Hurricane Harvey in Houston (2017), caused billions of dollars in property damage, adversely affected millions of people, and damaged the economic well-being of major metropolitan areas.” Between 2004 and 2014, major freshwater flood events cost an average of 70 lives and $9 billion USD annually in direct damage — excluding the cumulative impacts of frequent, small floods, which can be similar to infrequent, extreme floods. Examining real-world examples in metropolitan areas, such as New York and Houston, Framing the Challenge of Urban Flooding in the United States identifies similarities and differences in the root causes, adverse impacts, mitigation strategies, and unforeseen issues.
(Source: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2019. Framing the Challenge of Urban Flooding in the United States. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/25381.)
ClimaTwin® is a leading climate risk intelligence solution for infrastructure assets and the built environment.
We empower infrastructure stakeholders to mitigate climate risks and assess adaptation actions across the total asset lifecycle. By connecting complex climate models and infrastructure digital twins, our solution enables engineers, owner-operators, and governments to aggregate, visualize, and analyze disparate datasets, revealing site-specific insights at a hyper-local scale. Benefits include 5-10x near-term returns and lifetime cost-avoidance by mitigating risks to systems, services, and societies.
To learn more about climate risk intelligence for your infrastructure assets, please visit www.climatwin.com today.
ClimaTwin® is a registered trademark of ClimaTwin Corp. ClimaTwin Basic™, ClimaTwin Enterprise™, the ClimaTwin logo, and Climate Risk Intelligence for Infrastructure Digital Twins™ are trademarks of ClimaTwin Corp. All rights reserved.
The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine presents the report Framing the Challenge of Urban Flooding in the United States. As of today, flooding poses the most significant economic risk and social impact in the United States, of all climate extremes and natural hazards. As a result of our climate crisis, the severity, intensity, and extent of flooding is increasing over time. Further, the book highlights how “…catastrophic flooding from recent hurricanes, including Superstorm Sandy in New York (2012) and Hurricane Harvey in Houston (2017), caused billions of dollars in property damage, adversely affected millions of people, and damaged the economic well-being of major metropolitan areas.” Between 2004 and 2014, major freshwater flood events cost an average of 70 lives and $9 billion USD annually in direct damage — excluding the cumulative impacts of frequent, small floods, which can be similar to infrequent, extreme floods. Examining real-world examples in metropolitan areas, such as New York and Houston, Framing the Challenge of Urban Flooding in the United States identifies similarities and differences in the root causes, adverse impacts, mitigation strategies, and unforeseen issues.
(Source: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2019. Framing the Challenge of Urban Flooding in the United States. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/25381.)
ClimaTwin® is a leading climate risk intelligence solution for infrastructure assets and the built environment.
We empower infrastructure stakeholders to mitigate climate risks and assess adaptation actions across the total asset lifecycle. By connecting complex climate models and infrastructure digital twins, our solution enables engineers, owner-operators, and governments to aggregate, visualize, and analyze disparate datasets, revealing site-specific insights at a hyper-local scale. Benefits include 5-10x near-term returns and lifetime cost-avoidance by mitigating risks to systems, services, and societies.
To learn more about climate risk intelligence for your infrastructure assets, please visit www.climatwin.com today.
ClimaTwin® is a registered trademark of ClimaTwin Corp. ClimaTwin Basic™, ClimaTwin Enterprise™, the ClimaTwin logo, and Climate Risk Intelligence for Infrastructure Digital Twins™ are trademarks of ClimaTwin Corp. All rights reserved.
The National Academies Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate presents a workshop about “Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Wildland Fires,” from September 13th to September 15th, 2023. The workshop focuses on our current understanding of wildland fire greenhouse gas (GHG) emission changes, and the subsequent effect on our ability to achieve net-zero GHG emissions targets. Further, the workshop identifies numerous opportunities to improve measurements and model emissions, advance understanding, and inform management to minimize wildland fire emissions. During the event on wildland fires, attendees address best management practices to include in current and future action plans.
The issues addressed by BASC are at the forefront of contemporary concerns. Climate change and impacts, global climate models and the implications of their results, air pollution, and severe weather are topics discussed not just by scientists, but in Congress and in headlines every day. Our understanding of these issues directly affects the nation’s environmental policies, energy choices, manufacturing decisions, construction codes, and agricultural methods. In addition, there are implications for human health and emergency management.
ClimaTwin® is a leading climate risk intelligence solution for infrastructure assets and the built environment.
We empower infrastructure stakeholders to mitigate climate risks and assess adaptation actions across the total asset lifecycle. By connecting complex climate models and infrastructure digital twins, our solution enables engineers, owner-operators, and governments to aggregate, visualize, and analyze disparate datasets, revealing site-specific insights at a hyper-local scale. Benefits include 5-10x near-term returns and lifetime cost-avoidance by mitigating risks to systems, services, and societies.
To learn more about climate risk intelligence for your infrastructure assets, please visit www.climatwin.com today.
ClimaTwin® is a registered trademark of ClimaTwin Corp. ClimaTwin Basic™, ClimaTwin Enterprise™, the ClimaTwin logo, and Climate Risk Intelligence for Infrastructure Digital Twins™ are trademarks of ClimaTwin Corp. All rights reserved.
The National Academies Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate presents a workshop about “Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Wildland Fires,” from September 13th to September 15th, 2023. The workshop focuses on our current understanding of wildland fire greenhouse gas (GHG) emission changes, and the subsequent effect on our ability to achieve net-zero GHG emissions targets. Further, the workshop identifies numerous opportunities to improve measurements and model emissions, advance understanding, and inform management to minimize wildland fire emissions. During the event on wildland fires, attendees address best management practices to include in current and future action plans.
The issues addressed by BASC are at the forefront of contemporary concerns. Climate change and impacts, global climate models and the implications of their results, air pollution, and severe weather are topics discussed not just by scientists, but in Congress and in headlines every day. Our understanding of these issues directly affects the nation’s environmental policies, energy choices, manufacturing decisions, construction codes, and agricultural methods. In addition, there are implications for human health and emergency management.
ClimaTwin® is a leading climate risk intelligence solution for infrastructure assets and the built environment.
We empower infrastructure stakeholders to mitigate climate risks and assess adaptation actions across the total asset lifecycle. By connecting complex climate models and infrastructure digital twins, our solution enables engineers, owner-operators, and governments to aggregate, visualize, and analyze disparate datasets, revealing site-specific insights at a hyper-local scale. Benefits include 5-10x near-term returns and lifetime cost-avoidance by mitigating risks to systems, services, and societies.
To learn more about climate risk intelligence for your infrastructure assets, please visit www.climatwin.com today.
ClimaTwin® is a registered trademark of ClimaTwin Corp. ClimaTwin Basic™, ClimaTwin Enterprise™, the ClimaTwin logo, and Climate Risk Intelligence for Infrastructure Digital Twins™ are trademarks of ClimaTwin Corp. All rights reserved.
